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Genoa vs Lecce – Serie A 2025/26 Matchweek 1 Preview

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Match Facts

Item Details
Competition Serie A – Matchweek 1 (2025/26)
Date 23 August 2025 – 16:30 CEST
Venue Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Match Context Opening fixture between a strong home side and an away team seeking early points.

Match Review & Analysis

Genoa (Home)

  • Under Patrick Vieira, Genoa have shown steady improvement, earning 22 points from 16 matches since he took over (Sports Mole).

  • They boast one of the best defensive records at home in Serie A, conceding as few goals as Napoli last season (Sports Mole).

  • Genoa are unbeaten in their last 8 home league matches against Lecce, winning 6 of them (Khel Now).

Lecce (Away)

  • Lecce enter the season with concerns after failing to win any of their last three league matches (Sports Mole).

  • Their form has been inconsistent, and they may struggle against Genoa’s home strength.

  • To avoid early-season relegation pressure, they’ll need a disciplined defensive display and efficient counter-attacking.

Key Stats

  • Win Probability: Genoa ~50%, Draw ~30%, Lecce ~20% (Scouting Stats).

  • Likely a low-scoring match; predicted scorelines such as 1–0 Genoa are common in analytical models (Khel Now).

  • Andrea Pinamonti is highlighted as a likely goalscoring threat for Genoa (Khel Now).

Head-to-Head History

  • Across all competitions, Genoa and Lecce have met around 21–22 times: Genoa have won 10–11, Lecce 5, with 6 draws (Soccerway).

  • At Luigi Ferraris, Genoa have claimed 9–10 wins with only one home defeat to Lecce (Soccerway).

Summary

  • Genoa start their Serie A campaign in a strong position, with defensive solidity and home advantage under Vieira.

  • Lecce face an uphill battle and will need a resilient performance to get anything from this game.

  • Most models suggest a narrow home win, with 1–0 or 2–1 the most likely outcomes.

Sources:

Lega Serie A – Official fixture details
Sports Mole – Team form & preview
Khel Now – Predictions & stats
Soccerway – Head-to-head records
Scouting Stats – Probabilities & data

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